港理一路逆袭,冲进QS50!曼大爱大却五年连跌,英国留子:看完QS我笑不出来了……
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指南者留学
2026年09月29日
阅读量:32
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<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">如果一所大学QS排名跌一年,可能只是正常波动;跌两年,还能说是排名指标和竞争环境变了。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">但如果连续跌五年呢?</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">我把近五年的QS排名翻了一遍,发现一个很有意思的现象:同样是我们熟悉的名校,五年的走势已经完全走向两个极端。</p>
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<p style="font-size: 10px; color: #1a3fff; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: 3px; margin: 0 0 6px;">DECLINING TREND</p>
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<h3 style="font-size: 20px; font-weight: 800; color: #2c2c2c; margin: 0; letter-spacing: 0.5px; line-height: 1.4; max-width: 85%; min-width: 0;">有些名校,已经连续跌5年了</h3>
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<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">最典型的是<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">爱丁堡大学</span>。</p>
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<section style="margin: 0; border-radius: 8px; overflow: hidden;"><img style="max-width: 100%; height: auto; display: block; margin: 0 auto;" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/179065971976005.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMjAyNi02LnBuZw==/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" /></section>
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<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">如果你是前几年开始关注留学的,应该还记得它在QS上的<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">高光时刻</span>。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">从2015到2023年,爱丁堡的排名基本稳在世界前20上下,2022年第16,2023年更进一步来到第15。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">然后,从世界15到最新的第35。五年来<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">一路下滑</span>。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">另一个熟悉的名字是<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">曼彻斯特大学</span>。</p>
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<section style="margin: 0; border-radius: 8px; overflow: hidden;"><img style="max-width: 100%; height: auto; display: block; margin: 0 auto;" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/179065971968692.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMjAyNi02LnBuZw==/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" /></section>
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<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">这几年来,从28、32、34、35、再到40。没有暴跌,但<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">每年都要跌几位</span>。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">把时间再往前拉,曼大曾经三年稳居世界第27,一个常年稳在Top 30的学校,已经滑到了<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">Top 40的边缘</span>,真的很危险啊。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">巧的是,这两所恰恰是中国学生最熟悉、申请量最大的英国大学。</p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; font-weight: 800; color: #2c2c2c; margin: 28px 0 14px; padding-left: 10px; border-left: 3px solid #1A3FFF; line-height: 1.4;">为什么会这样?</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">不得不提到2024年QS的一次“<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">改尺子</span>”,QS第一次把可持续性、就业成果、国际研究网络三项指标计入总分,学术声誉的权重从40%砍到30%。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">靠学术声誉吃了十几年老本的英国老校,被这次调整<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">集体震动了</span>。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">当然,先别急着替它们惋惜。因为就在爱丁堡、曼大一路往下掉的同时,有学校正在经历<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">完全相反的五年</span>。</p>
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<p style="font-size: 10px; color: #1a3fff; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: 3px; margin: 0 0 6px;">QS RANKING</p>
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<h3 style="font-size: 20px; font-weight: 800; color: #2c2c2c; margin: 0; letter-spacing: 0.5px; line-height: 1.4; max-width: 85%; min-width: 0;">港理这几年真的杀疯了</h3>
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<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">逆袭黑马,真的不提港理工,都说港校这几年在QS大杀四方,而港五里面<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">排名上升最猛的还得是——港理</span>。</p>
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<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">把港理这六年的排名排开:<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">66、65、65、57、54、50</span>。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">五年里,它只在2024年原地踏步了一年,其余四年全部上涨,<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">净升15个位次</span>。2027版,港理第一次站进了世界前50。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">不到十年,<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">从百名开外一路杀进前50</span>,刷新校史最高排名。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">这条上升曲线,冲击的是内地学生对港校一个根深蒂固的排序:过去港大、中大、科大是不可逾越的港三,但现在<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">港三和港五的差距在缩短</span>。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">当然,港理也不是一个人在涨。2027版港校集体大涨:港大稳居世界第11;中大从32直接冲到18,科大从44到33,城大从63到52。<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">五所港校,全部冲进世界前60</span>。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">为什么偏偏是港校?原因很现实:QS这几年的尺子,明显偏向雇主声誉、国际化和就业成果,而这恰好是港校这些年集中发力的方向。</p>
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<section style="margin: 0; border-radius: 8px; overflow: hidden;"><img style="max-width: 100%; height: auto; display: block; margin: 0 auto;" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/179065972063726.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMjAyNi02LnBuZw==/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" /></section>
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<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">更能说明问题的一组对比是,五年前爱丁堡16、港理66,两所学校之间隔着整整50个位次;五年后,一个35,一个50,<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">差距只剩15位</span>。冰与火之间,不过五年。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">对看重QS的中国留学生来说,“世界Top 50”本身就是一道辨识度极高的门槛:回国落户、名企校招、各地人才政策,很多都卡在这条线上。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">学校还是那所学校,但申请者看它的眼光,已经不一样了。</p>
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<p style="font-size: 10px; color: #1a3fff; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: 3px; margin: 0 0 6px;">RISING STAR</p>
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<h3 style="font-size: 20px; font-weight: 800; color: #2c2c2c; margin: 0; letter-spacing: 0.5px; line-height: 1.4; max-width: 85%; min-width: 0;">英国逆袭王,五年狂飙23名</h3>
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<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">逆袭王,同样适用于另一匹黑马:伯明翰大学,五年前进23名,而且每一年都在涨。</p>
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<section style="margin: 0; border-radius: 8px; overflow: hidden;"><img style="max-width: 100%; height: auto; display: block; margin: 0 auto;" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/179065972023480.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMjAyNi02LnBuZw==/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" /></section>
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<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">要知道2022年的伯明翰还只有世界第90,标准的“<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">百强守门员</span>”。那时候提到英国QS前百,大家先想到的还是G5、爱丁堡、曼大、KCL、华威。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">八九十名的位置,在“QS党”眼里实在没什么存在感。现在不一样了,QS第68,已经<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">稳稳上桌QS前百</span>了。</p>
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<section style="margin: 0; border-radius: 8px; overflow: hidden;"><img style="max-width: 100%; height: auto; display: block; margin: 0 auto;" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/179065972082514.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMjAyNi02LnBuZw==/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" /></section>
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<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">五年前,爱丁堡16、伯明翰91,相差75名;如今一个35、一个68,<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">差距缩到33名</span>。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">但千万别急着说“伯明翰快追上爱丁堡了”。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">恰恰相反,这组数字真正值得讨论的,正是排名差缩小了33名,两所学校的认可度和行业地位是否随着撼动。</p>
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<p style="font-size: 10px; color: #1a3fff; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: 3px; margin: 0 0 6px;">BUY HIGH, SELL LOW?</p>
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<h3 style="font-size: 20px; font-weight: 800; color: #2c2c2c; margin: 0; letter-spacing: 0.5px; line-height: 1.4; max-width: 85%; min-width: 0;">买涨杀跌,真的合理吗</h3>
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<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">写到这,两个灵魂拷问就该摆上台面了。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">港理、伯明翰一路上涨,是不是该趁涨赶紧冲?爱丁堡、曼大连跌五年,是不是越来越“不值得读”了?</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">我的答案是:都不能这么看。</p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; font-weight: 800; color: #2c2c2c; margin: 28px 0 14px; padding-left: 10px; border-left: 3px solid #1A3FFF; line-height: 1.4;">爱丁堡就是最好的反例</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">排名跌是真的,申请端的反应也是真的。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">我翻了翻指南者后台的数据:近三年申请爱丁堡的人数,从24fall的933人降到26fall的674人,少了259人,降幅接近三成。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">但同期录取人数不降反增,从195人涨到267人、281人,录取率从约21%升到了42%。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">热度降温,不等于价值归零。</p>
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<section style="margin: 0; border-radius: 8px; overflow: hidden;"><img style="max-width: 100%; height: auto; display: block; margin: 0 auto;" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/17906597214925.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMjAyNi02LnBuZw==/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" /></section>
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<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">爱丁堡从15跌到35,师资没走,科研没停,几十年的学术积累和雇主认知,不会因为一个名次就蒸发。而对背景匹配的申请者来说,录取机会反而正在增加。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">当然,爱大也不是“闭眼入”的选择。<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">它更适合那些目标明确、专业匹配,又能接受一年制高强度节奏的申请者。</span></p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; font-weight: 800; color: #2c2c2c; margin: 28px 0 14px; padding-left: 10px; border-left: 3px solid #1A3FFF; line-height: 1.4;">当然,这绝不是说QS不重要</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">恰恰相反,今天的中国留学生很难绕开QS,回国求职、校招,或者面对一些明确卡世界排名门槛的人才项目时,“Top 50”“Top 100”有时候就是会产生非常现实的影响。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">港理冲进前50,对它当然是实打实的利好;伯明翰从91走到68,也当然会提升它在不少申请者心里的优先级。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">排名可以成为选校的一个坐标,却不该成为唯一坐标。爱丁堡从15跌到35,依旧是爱丁堡;曼大掉出前30,也不会突然失去吸引力。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">反过来,<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">港理进了前50,意味着越来越多原本只盯着港前三的申请者会重新审视它,申请竞争只会更激烈。</span></p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">说白了,拿“今年涨了几位”当申请信号,和拿学科排名第12和第18决定去留一样,都是另一种唯排名论。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">下一次QS公布,数字还会继续变。</p>
<p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">但选校真正要解决的,从来不是“谁的数字最大”,而是当排名、专业、申请难度、就业和你自己的背景摆在一起时,哪所学校才是更适合你的那一个。</p>
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