<section class="article-layout-v4" style="max-width: 677px; margin: 0 auto; padding: 0 10px; overflow-x: hidden; background: #F8F9FC; color: #2c2c2c; line-height: 1.75; letter-spacing: 0.5px; font-family: -apple-system,BlinkMacSystemFont,'PingFang SC','Microsoft YaHei',sans-serif;"><img style="max-width: 100%; height: auto; display: block; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0 auto 10px; padding: 6px; background: #FFF; border: 1px solid #E5E8F0; border-radius: 12px; box-shadow: 0 4px 12px -2px rgba(0,0,0,0.06);" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/179274563344325.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMjAyNi02LnBuZw==/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" /> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">上网冲浪看到这条帖子，&ldquo;利兹你吓死我了，<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">23分钟下offer</span>&hellip;&hellip;&rdquo;博主称自己递交申请23分钟后，就收到了利兹大学的录取通知。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">截至10月20日，指南者留学平台上27fall的录取总数已达1511份，这个发放量<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">比26fall同期多了66%</span>，看来offer雨真的是润物细无声了&hellip;&hellip;</p> <section style="margin-top: 16px; margin-bottom: 28px; padding: 0 10px;"> <p style="font-size: 10px; color: #1a3fff; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: 3px; margin: 0 0 6px;">CHAPTER</p> <section style="display: flex; align-items: flex-end; justify-content: space-between; margin-bottom: 12px;"> <h3 style="font-size: 20px; font-weight: 800; color: #2c2c2c; margin: 0; letter-spacing: 0.5px; line-height: 1.4; max-width: 85%; min-width: 0;">&ldquo;秒录&rdquo;是真的，但只有2.4%</h3> <p style="font-size: 42px; font-weight: 900; color: rgba(61,91,248,0.35); margin: 0; line-height: 1; letter-spacing: -1px;">01</p> </section> <section style="height: 2px; background: #B8CCF0; margin: 0 0 12px;"></section> </section> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">利兹的极速录取是个例吗？</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">26fall指南者留学共计收获利兹247个录取，<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">发放高峰集中在10-11月</span>，这两个月发出了全季近一半的录取。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">而录取的等待周期中位数只有5天。<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">集中、批量、流水线，利兹确实是快枪手！</span></p> <img style="max-width: 100%; height: auto; display: block; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0 auto 10px; padding: 6px; background: #FFF; border: 1px solid #E5E8F0; border-radius: 12px; box-shadow: 0 4px 12px -2px rgba(0,0,0,0.06);" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/17927456334753.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMjAyNi02LnBuZw==/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" /> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">这和英国申请的整体节奏是契合的。和港新相比，英国开放更晚，本身在优质生源的抢夺战中就失去了一部分优势。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">所以，用速度换时间也是英国院校的策略之一，从27fall已录取的英国案例看，<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">7天内发出录取的比例为26.9%，全季等待中位只要16天。</span></p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">将目光移至其他地区，<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">27fall中国香港7天内发放录取的比例是16.4%，新加坡是12.1%</span>。整体来说，7-10月的录取中位等待时长接近一个月。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">同一场offer雨，不是每个地区都在急行军。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">另外还要分享一个细节：1天内&ldquo;秒录&rdquo;的案例里，<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">最多的其实是中国香港</span>，而不是英国。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;"><span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">港校的快，是少数项目点对点的快；英国的快，是整条审核线的默认节奏。</span></p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">这两种快，<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">对申请者的意义完全不同</span>。前者不能据此推断港校普遍审得快，后者才更值得用来安排递交后的决策节奏。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">那真正的录取节奏是什么？如果我们把时间拉长到全年，答案应该会更清晰一些。</p> <section style="margin-top: 28px; margin-bottom: 28px; padding: 0 10px;"> <p style="font-size: 10px; color: #1a3fff; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: 3px; margin: 0 0 6px;">CHAPTER</p> <section style="display: flex; align-items: flex-end; justify-content: space-between; margin-bottom: 12px;"> <h3 style="font-size: 20px; font-weight: 800; color: #2c2c2c; margin: 0; letter-spacing: 0.5px; line-height: 1.4; max-width: 85%; min-width: 0;">Offer雨，是有生命周期的</h3> <p style="font-size: 42px; font-weight: 900; color: rgba(61,91,248,0.35); margin: 0; line-height: 1; letter-spacing: -1px;">02</p> </section> <section style="height: 2px; background: #B8CCF0; margin: 0 0 12px;"></section> </section> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">27fall已发出的录取，<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">近九成集中在9月和10月</span>，这才只是开场。我们把香港、新加坡和英国三个地区26fall全年的近万条录取数据，拉开来看。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">一整年的offer雨，细化到不同地区和不同月份，会发现：9月开闸，11月登顶，<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">11月到次年2月这四个月，集中了全季64.5%的录取</span>；3月之后进入长尾，只剩22.8%。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">按这个节奏，如果你到今年11月还没收到任何消息，不必先怀疑人生：<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">雨才下到中场</span>。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">对仍在等结果的人来说，先看自己申请地区的常规周期和提交时间，比拿别人的&ldquo;秒录&rdquo;当参照更有用。</p> <img style="max-width: 100%; height: auto; display: block; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0 auto 10px; padding: 6px; background: #FFF; border: 1px solid #E5E8F0; border-radius: 12px; box-shadow: 0 4px 12px -2px rgba(0,0,0,0.06);" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/179274563491893.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMjAyNi02LnBuZw==/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" /> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">那么，传说中的&ldquo;年底静默期&rdquo;，真的存在吗？</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">把26fall的录取数据放大到周，全年只有两个明显的低谷对应的是&mdash;&mdash;<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">圣诞周和春节周，当周发放量各比之前两周的均值下降约60%。</span></p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">但两个低谷是很快就会被填平的，节后第一周基本就恢复正常。</p> <img style="max-width: 100%; height: auto; display: block; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0 auto 10px; padding: 6px; background: #FFF; border: 1px solid #E5E8F0; border-radius: 12px; box-shadow: 0 4px 12px -2px rgba(0,0,0,0.06);" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/179274563487232.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMjAyNi02LnBuZw==/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" /> <p style="font-size: 16px; font-weight: 800; color: #2c2c2c; margin: 28px 0 14px; padding-left: 10px; border-left: 3px solid #1A3FFF; line-height: 1.4;">不同地区，各走各的节奏</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">但同一场offer雨，在三个地区的下法会完全不同。</p> <img style="max-width: 100%; height: auto; display: block; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0 auto 10px; padding: 6px; background: #FFF; border: 1px solid #E5E8F0; border-radius: 12px; box-shadow: 0 4px 12px -2px rgba(0,0,0,0.06);" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/179274563479634.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMjAyNi02LnBuZw==/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" /> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;"><span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">香港录取高峰集中在11-12月，全季等待中位47天。</span></p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">想把港校作为主申方向，最好为一到两个月的等待留出余量，别因一两周没出消息就着急调整策略。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">值得注意的是2-3月：这两个月发出的录取，<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">等待中位涨到73-82天</span>，大多是积压案件的&ldquo;清仓&rdquo;。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">这意味着越靠近年底提交，越容易被卷进长队；后期看似偶有&ldquo;快结果&rdquo;，并不等于申请窗口更宽松。</p> <img style="max-width: 100%; height: auto; display: block; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0 auto 10px; padding: 6px; background: #FFF; border: 1px solid #E5E8F0; border-radius: 12px; box-shadow: 0 4px 12px -2px rgba(0,0,0,0.06);" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/17927456355581.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMjAyNi02LnBuZw==/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" /> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;"><span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">英国高峰在11月，全季等待中位16天，是三地中唯一配得上&ldquo;快&rdquo;字的地区。</span></p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">但圣诞周前后提交，等待中位会从11月的15-18天拉长到29天，节日确实会拖慢审理。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">准备以英国为主的同学，可把关键递交和后续确认<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">留出节假日缓冲</span>，避免把时间卡得太死。</p> <img style="max-width: 100%; height: auto; display: block; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0 auto 10px; padding: 6px; background: #FFF; border: 1px solid #E5E8F0; border-radius: 12px; box-shadow: 0 4px 12px -2px rgba(0,0,0,0.06);" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/179274563547742.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMjAyNi02LnBuZw==/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" /> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;"><span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">新加坡，高峰最迟，拖到次年1-2月才到，全季等待中位70天。</span></p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">申新加坡，申请日历要按&ldquo;跨年等待&rdquo;来排：语言、签证、备选方案都别只围着一封offer的早晚转。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;"><span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">1-3月发出的录取，等待中位70-96天。</span>提交后长时间没有动静，在新加坡<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">并不天然是负面信号</span>；与其反复猜测，不如提前把其他地区的节点和材料同步推进。</p> <p style="font-size: 16px; font-weight: 800; color: #2c2c2c; margin: 28px 0 14px; padding-left: 10px; border-left: 3px solid #1A3FFF; line-height: 1.4;">提交月VS录取月，如何对照</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">港新英三个地区都是滚动录取机制，但&ldquo;越早提交越早录取&rdquo;并不是机械公式。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">把不同提交月份单独拎出来，看offer落在提交后第几个月，能更直观地看到各地区的审核节奏：<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">早投的价值主要在选择面和时间余量，不只是一封offer来得早几天。</span></p> <img style="max-width: 100%; height: auto; display: block; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0 auto 10px; padding: 6px; background: #FFF; border: 1px solid #E5E8F0; border-radius: 12px; box-shadow: 0 4px 12px -2px rgba(0,0,0,0.06);" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/179274563610887.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMjAyNi02LnBuZw==/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" /> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;"><span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">香港：9月提交的人，71%在提交后1到2个月收到。</span></p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">无论哪个月提交，大头都落在&ldquo;+1到+2个月&rdquo;这一档，等待中位42-52天。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">但越往后提交反而越快，26年1-3月提交的等待中位缩到29-35天，更多反映后期案件和项目节奏的变化，不等于晚投更占便宜；能选的项目和轮次，往往已经更少了。</p> <img style="max-width: 100%; height: auto; display: block; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0 auto 10px; padding: 6px; background: #FFF; border: 1px solid #E5E8F0; border-radius: 12px; box-shadow: 0 4px 12px -2px rgba(0,0,0,0.06);" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/17927456361301.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMjAyNi02LnBuZw==/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" /> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;"><span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">英国：近八成在提交后一个月内收到。</span></p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">10月提交的人，36%当月就有消息，43%次月收到。到26年2-3月，中位等待只有9-14天，是三地中唯一&ldquo;越晚提交越快&rdquo;的地区，因为学校开始集中清空名额。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">对申请者来说，这是<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">决策速度变快，不是选择面变大</span>：晚投英国，更要先确认项目仍开放、名额和自己的接受边界。</p> <img style="max-width: 100%; height: auto; display: block; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0 auto 10px; padding: 6px; background: #FFF; border: 1px solid #E5E8F0; border-radius: 12px; box-shadow: 0 4px 12px -2px rgba(0,0,0,0.06);" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/179274563680358.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMjAyNi02LnBuZw==/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" /> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;"><span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">新加坡：最考验心态。</span></p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">9-11月提交的会拉出一条长尾巴，9月提交的人32%等了至少4个月，11月提交的等待中位78天。反而是1-3月提交更快，中位36-55天。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">这里的&ldquo;快&rdquo;同样不能简单理解成后投更优：更适合把它理解为，新加坡的早投者要为较长等待预留心态和时间预算。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">越是到申请黄金期，越多的申请者关心：等了一个多月还没动静，是不是没戏了？</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;"><span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">香港的等待中位常年在40-50天，新加坡70天起步。</span>拖得久，很多时候只是你申的地区本来就这么慢。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">先用&ldquo;地区＋提交月&rdquo;校准等待预期，再决定是否补申、催问或调整选择，<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">别把沉默直接等同于没戏</span>。</p> <section style="margin-top: 28px; margin-bottom: 28px; padding: 0 10px;"> <p style="font-size: 10px; color: #1a3fff; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: 3px; margin: 0 0 6px;">CHAPTER</p> <section style="display: flex; align-items: flex-end; justify-content: space-between; margin-bottom: 12px;"> <h3 style="font-size: 20px; font-weight: 800; color: #2c2c2c; margin: 0; letter-spacing: 0.5px; line-height: 1.4; max-width: 85%; min-width: 0;">先考研再申请，来不来得及？</h3> <p style="font-size: 42px; font-weight: 900; color: rgba(61,91,248,0.35); margin: 0; line-height: 1; letter-spacing: -1px;">03</p> </section> <section style="height: 2px; background: #B8CCF0; margin: 0 0 12px;"></section> </section> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">最近也不断有同学问我：能不能先押注考研，等结果出来，如果没上岸再申请留学，可不可行？</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">考研初试成绩2月下旬公布，假设3月转向申请：<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">26fall平台上3月及以后才提交的录取案例有800个，占全部成功案例的9.7%。</span></p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">这批&ldquo;末班车&rdquo;案例有三个共同点，也提示了考研后转申的真实取舍。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;"><span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">一是快：等待周期中位只有18天</span>，远快于全季的42天，offer集中在3-5月发出，赶上当年秋季入学在时间上成立。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">但这个速度来自学校后期集中处理，<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">不代表还有充足的试错时间</span>；转申前，材料和语言最好已有准备。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;"><span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">二是去向集中：南洋理工109个、香港城市大学97个</span>、伯明翰72个、香港教育大学66个，其中也有港大44个、曼大43个。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;"><span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">三是选择面明显收窄：热门项目、热门轮次此时基本关闭</span>，能申的多是仍在开放的项目。它更适合作为有准备的备选路径，而不是等考研结果出来后才从零启动的Plan B。</p> <p style="font-size: 16px; font-weight: 800; color: #2c2c2c; margin: 28px 0 14px; padding-left: 10px; border-left: 3px solid #1A3FFF; line-height: 1.4;">越晚投递上岸越少</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">以港大和UCL为例，把26fall的录取按投递时间切成三段：10月前后、12月前后、3月及以后。</p> <img style="max-width: 100%; height: auto; display: block; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0 auto 10px; padding: 6px; background: #FFF; border: 1px solid #E5E8F0; border-radius: 12px; box-shadow: 0 4px 12px -2px rgba(0,0,0,0.06);" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/179274563747775.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMjAyNi02LnBuZw==/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" /> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">港大10月前后投递的成功案例有400个，12月前后299个，<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">3月后只剩44个</span>；UCL分别是49个、100个、9个。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">等待周期也在变长，<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">港大从56天拉到70天</span>。UCL因为英国整体快，周期反而从36天缩到22天，但它的量从100个掉到9个。</p> <p style="font-size: 16px; font-weight: 800; color: #2c2c2c; margin: 28px 0 14px; padding-left: 10px; border-left: 3px solid #1A3FFF; line-height: 1.4;">再把镜头推近到专业</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">港大全年录取量较大的三个专业：机器人与智能系统、工业工程与物流管理、计算机科学。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">10月前后分别录了38、33、35个，<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">3月后只剩4、4、1个</span>。</p> <img style="max-width: 100%; height: auto; display: block; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0 auto 10px; padding: 6px; background: #FFF; border: 1px solid #E5E8F0; border-radius: 12px; box-shadow: 0 4px 12px -2px rgba(0,0,0,0.06);" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/17927456374607.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMjAyNi02LnBuZw==/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" /> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">计算机的录取等待周期常年100天以上，越热门越慢，越慢越等不起。热门专业的末班车，<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">车票通常都是按个位数发的</span>。</p> <p style="font-size: 16px; font-weight: 800; color: #2c2c2c; margin: 28px 0 14px; padding-left: 10px; border-left: 3px solid #1A3FFF; line-height: 1.4;">成功者的门槛也在移动</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">港大10月前后投递的成功案例里，90分以上占10%，普通本科占10.2%，211和985各占约42%，<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">桌子旁的座位还算宽裕</span>。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">到12月前后，90分以上的占比升到16%，80分以下的占比从5%翻倍到9%。主轮次的竞争在肉眼可见地变浓。</p> <img style="max-width: 100%; height: auto; display: block; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0 auto 10px; padding: 6px; background: #FFF; border: 1px solid #E5E8F0; border-radius: 12px; box-shadow: 0 4px 12px -2px rgba(0,0,0,0.06);" src="https://info.compassedu.hk/179274563826065.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbmZvLmNvbXBhc3NlZHUuaGsvd2F0ZXJtYXJrMjAyNi02LnBuZw==/dissolve/100/gravity/SouthEast/dx/0/dy/0/ws/0.25/wst/2" alt="" /> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">3月后的尾舱又是另一种光景：这批港大录取里985占59%，三个大户专业的末班车几乎被985包揽。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;"><span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">所以晚申能不能上岸，能，但量变少、周期变长、门槛变高了。</span></p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">更重要的是，这是成功案例的分布，不是&ldquo;3月申请的上岸率&rdquo;。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">数据里看不到那些3月申请但没能录取的人，<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">这个比例不能被读成</span>&ldquo;三月申请有多大把握&rdquo;。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">它只能说明：末班车确实有人能搭得上，但我不确定是不是你，以及你要上的车是否还有座位。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;"><span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">研留学两手抓，从来不是制造焦虑的伪命题，它是一道时间规划题。</span></p> <section style="margin: 0 0 20px;"> <section style="display: flex; align-items: flex-start; gap: 8px; margin: 0 0 10px;"><span style="color: #2c2c2c; flex-shrink: 0; line-height: 1.8;">&bull;</span> <p style="margin: 0; flex: 1; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">均分和语言成绩能对接哪些仍在开放的项目？</p> </section> <section style="display: flex; align-items: flex-start; gap: 8px; margin: 0 0 10px;"><span style="color: #2c2c2c; flex-shrink: 0; line-height: 1.8;">&bull;</span> <p style="margin: 0; flex: 1; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">目标地区是英国、中国香港，还是新加坡？</p> </section> <section style="display: flex; align-items: flex-start; gap: 8px; margin: 0 0 10px;"><span style="color: #2c2c2c; flex-shrink: 0; line-height: 1.8;">&bull;</span> <p style="margin: 0; flex: 1; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">不同地区的offer节奏不同，备选方案是否也应放在不同的时间节点上？</p> </section> </section> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">保底之所以叫保底，是因为它有一个确定的位置，而不是&ldquo;到时候再说&rdquo;。</p> <p style="margin: 0 0 20px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.8; text-align: justify; color: #2c2c2c;">现在离考研初试还有两个月，离27fall的主轮次高峰还有一个月。两份时间表摆在一起，怎么做、如何选，<span style="color: #3d5bf8; font-weight: bold;">答案已经逐步清晰了</span>！</p> <section style="padding: 0 10px;"> <section style="text-align: center; margin: 0 0 32px;"> <section style="display: flex; align-items: center; justify-content: center;"><span style="height: 2px; width: 60px; background: linear-gradient(to right,transparent,#1A3FFF); margin-right: 12px;"><br /></span><span style="font-size: 11px; color: #1a3fff; letter-spacing: 3px; font-weight: bold;">END</span><span style="height: 2px; width: 60px; background: linear-gradient(to left,transparent,#1A3FFF); margin-left: 12px;"><br /></span></section> </section> </section> </section> <div class="qrcode-content-wrapper" contenteditable="false"> <div style="position: absolute; top: 10px; left: 96px; z-index: 2;" contenteditable="false">&nbsp;</div> <div style="position: absolute; top: 901px; left: 96px; z-index: 2;" contenteditable="false">&nbsp;</div> <div style="position: absolute; top: 2309px; left: 96px; z-index: 2;" contenteditable="false">&nbsp;</div> <div style="position: absolute; top: 2991px; left: 96px; z-index: 2;" contenteditable="false">&nbsp;</div> <div style="position: absolute; top: 3600px; left: 96px; z-index: 2;" contenteditable="false">&nbsp;</div> <div style="position: absolute; 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